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    三泰虎

    印度能在經濟上打敗中美嗎

    Will India ever beat Chinas and Americas economy and if that happens what will change in India?

    印度將會打敗中美經濟嗎?如果發生這種情況,印度會發生什么變化?

     timg.jpg

    Quora評論翻譯:

    來源:三泰虎 http://www.bnxr.icu/46084.html    譯者:Jessica.Wu

    外文:https://www.quora.com/Will-India-ever-beat-Chinas-and-Americas-economy-and-if-that-happens-what-will-change-in-India

    Martin Andrews, Asian analyst.

    The Indian GDP is $10 Trillion, the American GDP is $20 Trillion and the Chinese GDP is $25 Trillion.

    For India to “beat” the Chinese economy it would need a growth rate of atleast 20% although India will surpass America, China is a different story.

    Realistically speaking India could potentially grow at 10%+ growth rates by applying the perfect economic policy which I have elaborated on Martin Andrews' answer to Why are Sub continent Indian countries doing so poorly in comparison to East Asian countries?

    So India will settle for second place until the next revolution.

    印度GDP是10萬億美元,美國是20萬億美元,中國是25萬億美元。

    要想“打敗”中國經濟,印度至少需要20%的增長率,盡管印度將超過美國,但要超過中國就沒那么容易了。

    從現實角度講,通過實施完美的經濟政策,印度有可能以10%以上的速度增長。

    因此,印度將在下一次工業革命前屈居第二。

     

    Kamal Padam, Co Founder (2010-present)

    The question reads “Will India ever beat China's and America's economy, and if that happens, what will change in India?”.

    “Ever” is a long long time. India is stuck in the past, all we do is to talk about our past glory, and how to reclaim that. The entire context has changed, but we have not. Unless that happens, there’s not going to be any surge forward.

    What we need is a transformation toward developing a scientific temper, and the skill of Critical Thinking. We don’t teach either, outside of a few institutions. Our society is against these, and puts a premium on following traditions, on accepting the wisdom of elders and the wisdom written in ancient texts.

    印度沉湎于過去,我們所做的一切就是談論過去的榮耀,以及如何重拾它。整個時代已經發生了變化,但我們卻一成不變。除非我們做出改變,否則不會有任何的發展。

    我們需要的是一種轉變,發展科學秉性以及批判性思維。除了一些機構,我們也不教授這些。我們的社會反對這些,并且重視遵循傳統,重視接受長者和古籍中的智慧。

     

    Mohit

    Nothing is impossible. Yes, India can but will take long for this to happen. There are a host of things that actually needs to be changed, developed and upgraded in order to get this status.

    Some changes

    • India will become a export oriented country
    • from consumer economy to producer and manufacturer
    • strong currency
    • upgraded technology
    • changed mindset, among others.

    一切皆有可能。是的,印度可以做到,但這需要很長時間。為了達到這一目標,實際上有許多事情需要更改、開發和升級。

    會發生的一些變化:

    • 印度將成為一個出口導向型國家

    • 從消費經濟轉變為生產者和制造商

    • 強勢貨幣

    • 技術升級

    • 觀念改變

     

    Sathya Ramakrish, B.com Economics & International Relations, Sadakathullah Appa College, Nellai

    For India to beat China and US we first have to beat UK,Japan,Germany… Then only we can talk about US and China!!!

    Also I dont believe GDP growth will do any good. Our per capita is very very low.

    Still a long long way to go

    要想打敗中國和美國,印度首先要打敗英國、日本、德國,然后我們才能談論美國和中國!!!

    我也不認為GDP增長能有多大好處。我們的人均收入非常非常低。

    我們還有很長的路要走

     

    Vincent D'Mello, worked at Holford Associates

    On account of the size of its population which is projected to reach 2.5 billion in 2100, India will surpass the US by nominal GDP size sooner or later; but what’s the point?

    由于印度人口預計在2100年達到25億,印度的名義GDP遲早會超過美國;但這有什么意義呢?

    The US’s entire population is four times less than that of India’s. But their per-capita income is much higher, as their human capital is enormously more productive owing to significantly better education levels, vastly better institutional frameworks, significantly better infrastructure and technology, and a significantly freer economy.

    印度的總人口是美國的四倍多。但是他們的人均收入要高得多,因為他們的人力資本的生產力要高得多,教育水平要高得多,體制框架要好得多,基礎設施和技術要好得多,經濟要自由得多。

    In terms of dynamism, GDP per-capita, and share of world trade, India won’t beat the US or China’s economy EVER. The reason being that India’s governance system is broken and dysfunctional, and the economy is still mostly shackled by controls and restrictions. This deters investment and entrepreneurship, and hampers the productivity of workers, thereby limiting incomes.

    就經濟活力、人均GDP和世界貿易份額而言,印度永遠不會超過美國或中國。原因在于,印度的治理體系已支離破碎,功能失調,經濟仍受到控制和限制的束縛。這阻礙了投資和創業,阻礙了工人的生產力,從而限制了收入。

    Unless the Indian economy is liberated and unless the governance system is reformed to first-world standards like Singapore and Australia, there is ZERO CHANCE of India ever surpassing the US and China.

    除非印度經濟得到解放,并且治理體系按照新加坡和澳大利亞等第一時間國家的標準進行改革,否則印度超越美國和中國的可能性為零。

     

    Mathew Cherian, I watch China as they drive the World Economy

    Economy is a game of rational players of co-operating type not competitive. So beating someone to the finishing line remain only the realm of sports and not economy sciences. The reason being, objectives of economic science excludes such degenerate behaviours here as competition. Economies of a nation are run for the social welfare of its citizen not g for evil gratification of the nation, which if existed then it would have ceased to be a Ladnier type economy, meaning an economy run to theoretical standards of scale. The scale is resource allocation to the most useful entities of the economy.

    經濟是一種理性的、合作型而非競爭性的博弈。因此,打敗某人只屬于體育領域,而非經濟科學。原因在于,經濟學的目標排除了競爭等墮落行為。一個國家的經濟是為其公民的社會福利而運行的,而不是為了國家邪惡的滿足感。

     

    三泰虎原創譯文,禁止轉載!:首頁 > 印度人看中國 » 印度能在經濟上打敗中美嗎

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