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    三泰虎

    如果中印巴成為盟友,會帶來什么影響

    What if India, China and Pakistan were allies? How would our countries and economies be different from what we see now?

    如果印度、中國和巴基斯坦是盟友,那我們的國家和經濟與現在所看到的會有何不同?

     index.jpg

    Quora評論翻譯:

    來源:三泰虎 http://www.bnxr.icu/46087.html    譯者:Jessica.Wu

    外文:https://www.quora.com/What-if-India-China-and-Pakistan-were-allies-How-would-our-countries-and-economies-be-different-from-what-we-see-now

    Bhupinder Singh, Indian

    Interesting question.

    If that happens, the entire power of the world will shift to Asia. These 3 countries will rule the world on the basis of economy, population, land space, manufacturing.

    • China, Pakistan and India all three will become leader in -

    oPopulation - China, Pakistan and India together will account for 39% approximately of total world population.

    oLand Space - All three nations will stand at third position in land area of entire world’s nation after Russia and Antartica. (Countries of the World)

    oMilitary spending - The Military spending will be at second spot.

    oNuclear power - All three nations will comprise total of 500 nukes and will rank third after USA and Ruusia. (List of states with nuclear weapons - Wikipedia)

    oArmed forces - All three nation collectively will be top in the rank of armed forces.

    • India, Pakistan and India, China wont spend billions to counter border tension.
    • There will not be insurgency in J & K.

    The alignment in the business, culture, diversity and education have been so phenomenal that world may look for this nucleus of the world. The new chapter of economics will arise as two top nations in the GDP will start catering the entire world’s need.

    有趣的問題。

    如果發生這種情況,整個世界的力量將轉移到亞洲。這三個國家將以經濟、人口、土地、制造業為基礎統治世界。

    中國、巴基斯坦和印度將在以下方面成為領袖:

    人口:中國、巴基斯坦和印度合計將占世界人口總數的39%。

    國土:這三個國家的總面積將在全球排名第三,僅次于俄羅斯和南極洲。

    軍事開支:軍費開支將排在第二位。

    核武器:這三個國家總共將擁有500枚核武器,位居美國和俄羅斯之后排名第三。武裝部隊:這三個國家的軍隊總排名將會是最高的。

    • 印度、巴基斯坦和中國不在需要花費數十億來應對邊境緊張局勢。
    • 克什米爾地區將沒有叛亂。

    在商業、文化、多樣性和教育方面的一致性是如此顯著,可能會成為這個世界的核心。隨著GDP排名前兩位的國家將開始滿足全世界的需求,經濟學的新篇章將開啟。

     

    Sayyam Luhadiya, Loves to be Indian

    Well I was waiting for this question to come. The present condition where the three nations are hanging is quite difficult for them to ally. Geographically they are close but politics seperates them. The three nations have linked historic relations and moreover geographical benefits can act as a concrete factor to unite them.

    我一直在等著這個問題的出現。從目前來看,這三個國家是很難結盟的。從地理位置上講,他們很親近,但政治卻把他們分開了。這三個國家有歷史關聯,而且地理利益也可以作為把它們聯系在一起的具體因素。

    This is the map of what I think about the diplomatic condition of India, China and Pakistan. (Created by Create Custom Map | mapchart )

    Let's discuss some points with respect to India, China and Pakistan and then to the rest of the World that how the new alliance would be beneficial or will be a major disconcern.

    讓我們討論新聯盟會對印度、中國和巴基斯坦以及世界其他國家產生哪些利弊。

    For India, China and Pakistan

    Pros:

    對于印度,中國和巴基斯坦的有利之處:

    1.India's as permanent member in UN Security Council

    • China's veto power is blocking the way of India would now be happily acceptable as it was the only permanent member denying India's proposal. India would enter as the next permanent member in UN security council.

    印度將成為聯合國安理會常任理事國

    • 中國的否決權是唯一阻止印度成為常任理事國的,結盟后中國將不再反對,印度將成為聯合國安理會下一個常任理事國。

    2.More influence on SCS

    • New allaince power may work for China in respect of South China Sea. The influence of India and Pakistan will act as an essential tool for China to held its control.

    對南海的影響更大

    • 新聯盟可能會在南海問題方面為中國效力。印度和巴基斯坦的影響將成為中國控制的該地區重要工具。

    3.Solving water scarcity problem

    • China is facing water scarcity problem over north China and India is receiving imbalance of water supply from river Brahmaputra. The solution of water scarcity might be resolved by the tri-power in the future.

    解決缺水問題

    • 中國北方面臨水資源短缺問題,而雅魯藏布江水資源供應對印度來說不均衡。未來,解決水資源短缺問題的辦法將由“三方”來解決。

    4.Dealing with the energy crises in Pakistan

    • The Energy Crises in Pakistan could be solved by transferring a certain amount of lifelines of India and China's economy to Pakistan. This will increase the GDP of Pakistan and develop the country.

    處理巴基斯坦的能源危機

    • 通過印度和中國的經濟支持,巴基斯坦的能源危機可以得到解決。這將增加巴基斯坦的GDP,使其得以發展。

    6.Geographical boundaries dispute will be a history

    • The geographical boundaries issue of Kashmir will now be a history. No more quarrel which would strengthen the ties amongst tri-nation.

    地理邊界爭端將成為歷史

    • 克什米爾的地理邊界問題將成為歷史。不再有爭端,這將加強三國之間的關系。

    7.Reduction in terrorism

    • Three of the countries, with their powerful armies may romove terrorism from the root and will prevent humanity from destruction.

    減少恐怖主義

    • 三國強大的軍隊可能根除恐怖主義和保護人民免受其害。

    8.New world of economy

    • The three Asian economies will combine and thus make reforms accordingly. This could be the biggest economic union history ever had.

    經濟新世界

    • 三個亞洲經濟體將結合,從而做出相應的改革。這可能是有史以來最大的經濟聯盟。

    Cons:

    對于印度,中國和巴基斯坦的不利之處:

    1.Influence of Chinese economy

    • Chinese economy, being the largest amongst three, could influence the other two nations and may cause a disgraceful situation, mainly for Pakistan.

    中國經濟的影響

    • 中國經濟是三個國家中最強,可能會影響其他兩個國家,主要是對巴基斯坦。

    2.Supreme powers relationship

    • This point is for India. The diplomacy India had with USA, Russia and other super powers may now will be compressed to a single state called China because a sense of power-to-power condition amongst whole world will arise for the alliance.

    超級大國間的關系

    這點是針對印度的。印度與美國、俄羅斯和其他超級大國之間的外交關系現在可能會轉向中國這一個國家,因為在全世界范圍內,這個聯盟將會產生一種強強聯合的感覺。

    3.Loss to Pakistan

    • It would be a difficult time as Pakistan would act as a second part and the priority will be given to India and China.

    對巴基斯坦的損失

    • 對于巴基斯坦來說,這將是一個艱難的時期,印度和中國的利益將優先考慮,而巴基斯坦則排在第二位。

    For rest of the world

    Pros:

    對于其他國家的有利之處:

    1.Distribution of Economic Powers

    • World will now turn themselves to see another econiomic powers like USA and Japan and new era of world economics will start and surely be beneficial.

    經濟實力的分配

    • 世界將看到類似美國和日本等經濟強國的崛起,世界經濟新時代的開始肯定是對其他國家有益的。

    2 Nations with alliance get benefit

    • Nations working with alliance or helping the alliance will get some benefits in terms of country matters as because of the indirect power of alliance over whole countries.

    與之結盟的國家將受益

    • 由于聯盟對其他國家的間接影響,與該聯盟合作的國家將在國家事務方面獲得一些好處。

    3.Balance of Big Powers

    • The USA, Japan and other countries alliance will get a competition with the new alliance and will distribute Powers.

    大國平衡

    • 美國,日本和其他國家聯盟將獲得一個新聯盟進行競爭,權力將重新分配。

    對其他國家的不利之處:

    1.Problem to other South-Asian Countries

    • The rest South Asian countries like Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Myanmar will be ignored by the powers which will be not what they deserve to be. They have immense potential which would curb by the three powers.

    對其他南亞國家造成問題

    • 其他南亞國家像尼泊爾、不丹、孟加拉國、斯里蘭卡和緬甸將被其忽視。他們的巨大潛力將被這三個大國遏制。

    2.Attack over Western media

    • Chinese media strongly oppose Western media. With the support of powerful Indian Media, China will be successful with its decision.

    攻擊西方媒體

    • 中國媒體強烈反對西方媒體。在強大的印度媒體的支持下,中國將如虎添翼。

    3 Inclining of Asian power

    • Earlier, the power of China over Asia was balanced by India. Now the Asia will be a hold by the alliance which could be problematic for Asian countries.

    亞洲力量失衡

    • 早些時候,中國在亞洲的力量受印度制衡。現在亞洲將由改聯盟控制,這對亞洲國家來說可能是個問題。

    4.Dispute in UN Security Council

    • The allance would crown India as another permanent member. Now the dispute can increase because of two members will be there from same alliance.

    聯合國安理會的爭端

    • 聯盟將使印度成為常任理事國。現在安理會的爭端可能會增加,因為有兩個來自同一聯盟的成員。
    1. Slight chance World War
    • A bitter feeling amongst other nations towards the new alliance would exist. In few decades the alliance could be tough like USA which would lead to the era like that we see in cold war. But this time, war may occur as both parts of world have immense nuclear Powers.

    有些許可能導致世界大戰

    • 其他國家對新聯盟的不滿情緒將會存在。幾十年后,北約可能會變得像美國一樣強硬,這將導致類似冷戰的時代。但這一次,戰爭可能會發生,因為世界上兩個地區都有巨大的核大國,

    Every change has its own advantages and disadvantages. But if the three countries would at least try to solve their problems, the world will glorify itself with its another three gems- India, China and Pakistan.

    You are free to criticise or appreciate my views. Thank you.

    每一個變化都有利弊。但如果這三個國家能設法解決他們的問題,世界將會對這三個國家刮目相看。

     

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